Túnel do Tempo: BusinessWeek, 15-23 Agosto de 2003
- Os Estados Unidos discutiam se a terceirização era boa ou ruim. Eles continuam discutindo.
- Nicholas Carr, ainda antes de escrever o excelente Does IT Matter?, dizia que “[IT] can lead to good things, such as increased productivity at the industry level. But it doesn’t necessarily have much of an impact on individual companies and their ability to distinguish themselves and thus achieve higher profitability than their rivals” e que “[Now] all the developments in technology – toward standardization, toward openness, toward greater power, toward ever more affordable hardware and software – have made it much more difficult for the systems themselves to provide you with advantage“. Muita gente não entende o trabalho dele até hoje.
- A Europa perdiam tempo discutindo o monopólio da Microsoft. Eles continuam perdendo.
- A revista sugeria quatro ondas de tecnologia para se observar: computação em nuvem (ainda chamada de computação utilitária), sensores, eletrônicos plásticos e corpos biônicos. +1 para ela.
- Especulava-se se computação em nuvem não era hype. Ainda se discute.
- Bill Gates, da Microsoft, dizia que “Look at business intelligence, workflow, collaboration, real-time communication: We’ve just scratched the surface. How do you make all those back-end systems easy to manage and secure? How do you make it easy to write Web service applications that cut across the boundaries, inside a company and between companies? Now that we have all this Internet connectivity, how can buying and selling and planning be done differently? That’s an unrealized dream. Our challenge is to make those dramatically simpler“. Já avançamos muito nisso tudo.
- Os Estados Unidos discutiam o valor real do yuan. Eles continuam discutindo.
- Carly Fiorina, da HP, dizia que “We are convinced that the industry will consolidate into fewer, bigger players“. Ela foi demitida em 2005 após o fracasso da aquisição da Compaq.
- Os Estados Unidos discutiam se a Coréia era amiga ou inimiga. Eles continuam discutindo.
- Steve Jobs, da Apple, dizia que “I look around, and I’m pretty stunned at how many successful young companies I see. I look at eBay and I’m amazed. I look at Google and I’m amazed. These are some pretty good companies in the making, and they’re not just one-product companies – they’re real companies. They’re already bigger than some of the great entepreneurial companies of the past“. Ele não mudou por causa destas empresas.
- Jeff Bezos, da Amazon, dizia que “[Today] is like the early days of electrical appliances. The Internet and the things that will come out of it are around the level of the 1908 Hurley washing machine. The electric outlet had not been invented yet. Nor had the on-off switch“. +1 para ele.
- Sam Palmisano, da IBM, dizia que “From now on, the tech companies that succeed will be those that have developed skills at listening and a sophisticated understand of their customers’ industries“. A IBM não se enquadra nisso até hoje.
- John Chambers, da Cisco, dizia que “The virtual networked organization will be the most basic change since the assembly line – except it won’t be only for manufacturing, it will apply to all businesses and governments“. +1 para ele.
- Marc Andreessen, que estava na Opsware, dizia sobre Larry Ellison, da Oracle, que “He’s got a very large software company where the core franchise, the database business, is a very good business. But he’s got big competitors: Microsoft and IBM and now open source. There are some very interesting questions around the future of that business. And he’s got a big consulting business, which is fine, but big consulting businesses are hard to differentiate because they all do basically the same thing. And then he’s got this application business that he hasn’t been able to get traction in“. Tudo isso ainda é verdade.
- Paul Saffo, do Institute for the Future, diz que “About every decade, a new technology comes in and resets the landscape. The current decade is being shaped by cheap sensors that connect our devices to the world around us. In 10 years you’re going to walk into a room and assume everything has rudimentary intelligence. People will give their vacuums names because they’ll act like living things. Apply this to engines. With sensors, the engine can tell you when it needs to be fixed. The ramifications are breathtaking“. +1 para ele.
- Scott McNeally e Bill Joy, da Sun, diziam que “The real growth area is in the different kinds of devices we focused on a decade ago with Java: mobile devices, cellular phones, wireless devices” e que “Frankly, for the past 20 years, the universities have not been as far ahead as I would have liked” +1 para eles.
- Masayoshi Son, do Softbank, dizia que “In America, [the Silicon Valley will play a role in the coming recovery], but not in the world. Korea definitely is the center of broadband, and Japan is goign to become a center very quickly. The U.S. is falling behind. For the mass production of electronic goods, China is becoming the new center of the world. They will become the producer of the world and become more innovative along the way“. Eu também acho.
- Larry Ellison, da Oracle, dizia que “Big companies do at least as good a job of innovating as little companies“. Não foi a última besteira que ele disse.
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